Moats Built for Humans
Software moats—workflow lock-in, interface training, data silos—were built to stop humans. AI agents bypass all of it. The $300B wipeout was the market catching up to a structural shift.
Based out of India, Tech Constant is my first attempt at writing. I chose to write on technology, having worked as an analyst, strategy consultant, product manager, and entrepreneur.
Software moats—workflow lock-in, interface training, data silos—were built to stop humans. AI agents bypass all of it. The $300B wipeout was the market catching up to a structural shift.
AI doesn't kill software demand—it kills software scarcity. When a vertical SaaS tool's price drops from $5M to $50K, competition, not substitution, becomes the silent killer. The software industry isn't dying. It's being sorted.
Everyone's arguing about who's winning AI. Meanwhile, OpenAI made $20 billion and lost $14 billion. Chinese startups burn cash even faster. The uncomfortable truth? Neither side knows how to make money from this yet. They're just losing it differently.
The most broadly diffused technologies in history have produced the most concentrated returns. This is not a bug—it is the system. You cannot half-build a platform. You cannot partially create a network effect. The middle ground is a strategic dead zone.
Volkswagen spent 5 years and billions of euros building software that never worked, then paid $5.8B to license Rivian's. The federated structure that enabled twelve brands systematically prevented building the unified system software-defined vehicles require.